While half of the nation’s electorate ruled out voting for Donald Trump, four in ten say the same thing about Joe Biden.
That’s according to the latest Monmouth University Poll, which found Biden held a 12 point lead in the president race slated for November. Additionally, Biden held a significant advantage among the one in five who did not have a favorable opinion of either candidate.
Registered Voters Favor Biden
Biden had the support of 53% of registered voters, compared to the 41% aligned for Trump. In early June, Monmouth reported a 52% to 41% split.
The trend line was gravitating towards Biden, who led 50% to 41% in May, 48% to 44% in April, and 48% to 45% in March.
“Half of all registered voters have ruled out backing Trump,” said Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray. “Trump showed in 2016 that he can thread the needle, but these results suggest the president has even less room for error in 2020,”
Biden Inspires More Certainty
The poll found 40% of would-be Biden voters were certain in their support, compared to 34% saying the same about Trump.
An additional 3% said they were very likely to vote for Biden and 9% were somewhat likely; comparatively, 2% said they were very likely to vote for Trump while 6% said it was somewhat likely.
Fewer voters had a negative opinion of the Democratic nominee, with 44% rating favorable and 44% unfavorable. Hillary Clinton faced a 34% to 52% split at the same date in 2016.
No Favorable Opinions
Twenty-one percent of all registered voters did not have a favorable opinion of either the Democratic or Republican candidates. While Trump did well with the “double negative” group in 2016, Biden led 55% to 21% among this group.
“Four years ago, Clinton was the insider candidate who approximated an incumbent in many voters’ minds. There is no mistaking who wears that mantle this year,” said Murray.
“Trump’s problem is that voters who aren’t enamored with either candidate tend to go for change.”
The poll found 72% of Trump supporters were very confident the president’s stamina, while only 47% of Democratic voters said the same of Biden. Overall, nine in ten reported they were at least somewhat confident in their respective party candidate’s stamina.