A new Monmouth Poll shows not only does a clear majority of Americans support the second impeachment of former President Donald Trump but want the Senate to convict him and bar him from holding office in the future
The poll, conducted by telephone from Jan. 21 to 24, found 56% of Americans approve of the House of Representatives impeaching Trump for incitement of insurrection from his actions surrounding the Jan. 6 U.S. Capitol Riot, while 42% disapprove. Comparatively, when the House impeached Trump the first time in January 2020, 53% approved and 46% disapproved.
“There is somewhat more agreement that Trump did something wrong than there was with the first impeachment,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in a press statement for the poll released Jan. 25. “But there are still a good number of Republican stalwarts who continue to stand with the former president regardless.”
Partisan approval for the second impeachment stands at 92% among Democrats (versus 94% one year ago for the first impeachment), 52% among independents (51% in January 2020), and 13% among Republicans (versus 8% in January 2020).
Overall, 53% of respondents characterized the incitement of insurrection charge against Trump was definitely grounds for impeachment. Thirty percent responded some of his conduct was improper but did not rise to the level of impeachment, and 15% maintained he did nothing wrong.
Just over half (52%) of the American public wants the U.S. Senate to convict Trump on the impeachment charge, while 44% do not. The polling operation noted that when the small number of poll participants who initially opposed conviction but favored a ban on future office-holding were informed of impeachment would bar Trump from future office, support for conviction on the impeachment charge increased by three points to 55%.
Confidence in Election Grows
The impeachment charge is tied to false claims made by Trump and his supporters about election fraud, which sought to undermine public faith in the 2020 presidential election result. Monmouth’s poll found 54% are now very confident that the election was conducted fairly and accurately, increasing 10% from November 2020. Another 12% are somewhat confident and 9% are not too confident, while 25% remain not at all confident—a decline of 4% from November.
Despite the increase in confidence about the election, 32% still answered President Joe Biden only won the election due to voter fraud—65% believe he won it “fair and square.” This result is virtually unchanged from November when 34% believed that fraud determined the outcome or that Biden’s victory would be overturned.
“A number of ostensible leaders in the Republican Party continue to peddle this false narrative and many more who know this claim is wrong have not been particularly outspoken in disavowing it,” said Murray. “Their fellow partisans in the American public are simply following that lead.”
As a result, 72% of Republicans persist in believing that Biden’s win is due to voter fraud. Among Americans who still believe Trump lost due to fraud, nearly two-thirds say it is time to move on, but one-third of this group—making up 10% of all American adults—say they will never accept Biden as president.
Final Trump Ratings
Trump final job rating in the Monmouth poll as he ended his Presidency stood at 41% approval and 56% disapproving. The approval rating stands at about the midpoint of where it ranged in the university’s polling, which was between 39% and 44% throughout his term.
But the final disapproval rating of 56% matches his previous record in December 2017 in holding that view.
“Not once during Trump’s term did he have a majority of Americans behind him,” said Murray. “And yet, a sizable share of the public still gives him at least a nominal thumbs up despite the chaos of the last four years. On this metric alone, this has to go down as one of the most—if not the most—divisive presidencies in our nation’s history.”