In a pattern reminiscent of the surge of cases after national holidays, key health metrics for the coronavirus are climbing in New Jersey.
While the number of those hospitalized has remained somewhat stable, the number of cases and rate of transmission has increased significantly in the past couple of days.
The total number of new COVID-19 cases for July 15 was 635, the daily positivity rate doubled and the rate of transmission continued to climb. The confirmed case count of 441 is the highest single day total since May 25 with 423.
July 18 Daily Update: The state announced a total of 565 new COVID-19 cases and the rate of transmission stood 1.33. The daily positivity rate for the whole state was 2.2% as of July 14. Officials reported 301 patients were hospitalized; of those hospitalized, 45 are in intensive care units and 25 on ventilators. A total of 42 patients were discharged.
The rising health metrics come 10 days after the 4th of July three day holiday weekend. The increase is similar to the pattern of an increase in cases usually peaking two weeks after major holidays in the last year—Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Year’s and Easter.
But the number of cases are much lower than the peak surges in the past year. The Halloween 2020 peak was 4,540 on Nov. 15, post-Thanksgiving 2020 cases topped off at 6,247 and in January 2021 the high of 6,922 was reached on Jan. 13.
The high for Easter in 2021 was 3,791 on April 16, four months into the state’s vaccination program.
Gov. Phil Murphy and health officials have stressed that the current cases are mostly of those who are not vaccinated and from the Delta variant of the coronavirus.
“All of these numbers…reflect individuals who are almost exclusively—if not exclusively—not vaccinated,” said Murphy recently. “We have every reason and confidence to believe that these vaccines work especially against severe illness and death.”
As of July 15, the cumulative number of confirmed coronavirus cases in New Jersey was 896,566 with 441 total new PCR cases reported. There were 194 probable cases, bringing the cumulative total of antigen tests to 130,894. The total number of individual cases for the state is 1,027,460.
As for those that have passed, the state reported two confirmed deaths, bringing that total to 23,813. The state listed probable deaths at 2,716, bringing the overall total to 26,529. State officials noted three deaths occurred in the last 24 hours of reporting that have not yet been lab confirmed.
For North Jersey counties on July 15, Bergen had a total of 34 new confirmed cases and 20 new probable cases, Essex 48 new cases and 16 new probable case, Hudson 45 new cases and nine new probable cases, Morris 31 new confirmed cases and 15 new probable cases, Passaic 14 new cases and 12 new probable case, Sussex three new cases and two new probable cases, and Warren had three new cases and no new probable cases.
Of the total confirmed deaths in North Jersey, Essex County has the most with 2,727, followed by Bergen at 2,593, Hudson with 2,090, Passaic at 1,741, Morris at 980, Sussex at 239, and Warren County at 212.
In regards to probable deaths reported July 14, Essex has 304, Bergen has 302, Morris has 262, Hudson has 218, Passaic has 203, Sussex has 68 and Warren has 26.
As for the rate of transmission reported July 15, it increased to 1.16 from 1.08 the day before. The daily rate of infections from those tested July 10 was 2.5%; by region, the rate was 2.5% in the North, 2.5% in the Central region and 2.6% in the South.
Officials reported 325 patients were hospitalized; 294 cases were confirmed and 63 are under investigation. By region, there were 159 in the North, 95 in the Central and 71 in the South.
Of those hospitalized, 48 are in intensive care units and 24 on ventilators. A total of 54 patients were discharged, while 28 were admitted.
Officials have continually cited transmission rate, hospitalizations, intensive care units, ventilators and positivity rate as health data they rely on to track how the coronavirus is being contained in New Jersey, guiding them in determining when restrictions have to be tightened or lifted.
Bergen Tops County Count
Bergen has the most confirmed cumulative cases in the state with 90,591, followed by Middlesex at 85,399, Essex at 85,239, Hudson at 79,228, Monmouth at 68,443, Ocean at 66,407, Passaic at 66,157, Union at 60,876, Camden at 49,386, Morris at 42,217, Burlington at 38,537, Mercer at 31,816, Gloucester at 26,745, Atlantic at 25,119, Somerset at 24,534, Cumberland at 14,993, Sussex at 11,802, Warren at 9,040, Hunterdon at 9,040, Salem at 5,594, and Cape May at 4,676.
In regards to probable cases, Bergen had the most at 14,793, followed by Union at 11,170, Ocean at 10,486, Essex at 9,590, Hudson at 9,376, Morris at 8,379, Monmouth at 8,244, Middlesex at 7,534, Passaic at 7,481, Camden at 6,822, Atlantic at 6,693, Burlington at 6,061, Somerset at 5,842, Cape May at 4,642, Gloucester at 4,081, Mercer at 2,454, Sussex at 2,363, Cumberland at 2,299, Warren at 1,031, Hunterdon at 905, and Salem 546.
Another 727 cases are still under investigation to determine where the person resides.
Long-term Care Facilities
Health officials noted 18 long-term care facilities are currently reporting at least one case of COVID-19, accounting for a total of 72 of the cases, broken down between 38 residents and 34 staff.
Cumulatively, 1,493 long-term care facilities reported a case infecting 32,802 residents and 22,235 staff, for a total of 55,037.
The state’s official death total will now be reported as those that are lab confirmed, sits at 8,063 on July 15. The facilities are reporting to the state 7,878 residents deaths and 144 staff deaths.
The number of COVID-19 vaccines administered in New Jersey totaled 10,190,399 in-state, plus an additional 356,349 administered out-of-state for a grand total of 10,546,748 as of July 15. Of those who have received the vaccine, 4,988,085 received their second dose or the one jab Johnson & Johnson dose in state and another 153,571 out of state, bringing those fully vaccinated to 5,141,656.
Demographically, 53% of those vaccinated are women and 47% men. As for ethnicity, 49% are White, 15% Hispanic, 11% Asian, 7% Black, 9% other and 9% unknown. In regards to the age of those having received the vaccine, 25% are 65 years old or olders, 27% are between the ages of 50-64, 29% are between the ages of 30-49, and 19% are between the ages of 12-29.
In North Jersey, Bergen County has delivered 1,159,522 doses (570,536 fully vaccinated), Essex 858,886 doses (416,580), Hudson 785,584 doses (377,152), Morris 639,531 doses (312,784), Passaic 531,709 doses (258,223), Sussex 148,968 doses (73,878), and Warren 96,012 doses (47,313).